Epidemic forecasting using mathematical modeling and machine learning methods

Authors

  • O.V. Voroniuk
  • O. Yu. Kulchytska

Keywords:

math modeling; epidemics; data analysis; machine learning; differential equations

Abstract

This research considers the construction of a mathematical model of an infectious disease epidemiс, finds a solution of the resulting system of ordinary differential equations by Runge-Kutta method, and approximates the function of process dynamics by machine learning from observed data. The aim of the study is to create a system for predicting the epidemic by mathematical modeling and machine learning methods.

References

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Chen, Ricky T. Q., Rubanova Yulia, Bettencourt, Jesse and Duvenaud, David Neural Ordinary Differential Equations, 2018.

Clevert, Djork-Arné & Unterthiner, Thomas, Hochreiter, Sepp. Fast and Accurate Deep Network Learning by Exponential Linear Units (ELUs), 2015.

Kingma, Diederik, Ba, Jimmy. Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization. International Conference on Learning Representations, 2014.

Published

2021-11-16

Issue

Section

Природничі та технічні науки